The Problems with Polls - Often Wrong and Not Representative.

Get out the Vote and Vote with the Courage of your Convictions

Don't let this Happen:  

UK Election 2015 - Polls completely wrong.

Who answers polling phone calls on their cell? 

I am still a relic that has a landline & a cell phone & I hang up or don't answer Polling calls.  Caller ID allows everyone to screen calls.

• Much of the population don't have land-lines.
• Many Canadians (on landlines, VOIP, cellphones) have call screening.
• Cell phone only citizens don't want to waste money on minutes answering poll questions.
• Most cell-phone-only citizens don't want to waste their battery charge on answering poll questions.
• Most cell-phone-only citizens represent a younger demographic. 
• 9% is considered a good response rate (by Nanos) - so that means ***91%*** of people hang up, or don't answer. You have to wonder how those 91% would have responded.
• So, even aggregates of polls are still not contacting 91% of their target. 
• We no longer have a Mandatory Long Form Census, so it's difficult to discern the demographic of the Cdn population. 
  
  In A First Past the Post System, Polls do not translate into seats won eg:  Nanos poll May 02 of 2011 put Liberals at 20.5% support but that didn't translate to the 34 seats they won which represented only 11% of the seats in the house 34/308

 Link: From Michael Harris's article: Even Nick Nanos is reported to have run biased polls.

How do pollsters even know what Canada looks like demographically? Thanks to the Conservatives, we know longer have the statistics from the Mandatory Long Form Census to answer those questions.

Link: From Laurier Prof:  The Polls are Bad -- Their Accuracy, that is.